By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close
Lafiel said:
irstupid said:

Exit polls, or the media all saying one thing. To the public they are the same thing.

But yes the polls do predict popular vote. And what is electroal votes? It is teh popular vote in that state. Their polls were wrong for most of the swing states. So yes they were wrong. Besides, remove California and the popular vote is a tight race. But again, the point is, polls take the popular vote in EACH state. The popular vote in EACH state wins that states electoral votes. 

but the exit polls in each individual state aren't representative, they are attuned to give be representative for the nation wide popular vote, which is much easier to achieve (and they did achieve that) than to try to have them predict each individual state

ofcourse you could demand that they at least try to design representative exit polls for some key swing states, but in reality you need decades of experience to design them correctly and in that time different states turn out to be the "key swing states"

What are you talking about. They have polls for each state.

During the election you constantly heard how many points someone was up or down in each individual state.