StuOhQ said:
I'm one. Most Nintendo gamers have owned a second console by necessity since the late 90s. |
Most hardcore gamers, perhaps. I don't think you'll find many casual gamers with multiple consoles. Bigger point, though, is that the install base for BotW will be pretty small at launch (~14 million Wii Us, maybe a million Switches in the first month assuming it sells well). Let's be ludicrously optimistic and say that every single one of those sales will be from people who did not own a Wii U (so as unique an install base as possible). That's 15 million people that could buy BotW during its launch month.
Now the question becomes how many of those 15 million own a PS4 as well. Let's again be optimistic and say that half of this group (7.5 million of the 15 million) own a secondary console. If the average PS4 to XBO sales hold for this crowd, that would result in roughly 5 million people owning both a PS4 and a Wii U or Switch (and this isn't even taking those who have a PC+Nintendo combo as well). On top of all THAT, you have to factor out the people that aren't interested in either Zelda or Horizon, and wouldn't consider buying one or either of them. So factor out casual gamers who are in that ratio, and the kids whose parents bought them consoles at Christmas, and you can see why the room for competition between the two games is relatively small.
