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thismeintiel on 18 February 2017
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Pionner said:

When deciding who will win the holidays, please remember the 3rd party bundles PS4 will have.

RDR2
Destiny 2
SWBF2
COD

I think the SW bundle from 2015 sold over 600K alone in November.

Not saying Switch or Scorpio don't have a chance. Sony is in the best position to win the holidays IMO. If not, those bundles guarantee the gap won't be big if either Switch or Scorpio wins.

IMO.

Agreed.  I don't see Scorpio lighting the charts on fire, since the Pro didn't.  And if Scorpio is $449 and Sony drops the Pro to $299-$349, espeically while promoting Boost Mode and what the Pro can do for the games you listed, I see it doing worse than the Pro.  As for Switch, I see it doing well for the first couple months, but at $299, I expect sales to drop quite a bit.  If Nintendo pulls a 3DS price cut, they have a great shot at taking the holidays.  However, if they pull a Wii U and don't drop it til it's too late, then it will do only average during the holidays.

And one last thing to consider about the PS4, it will be $199, at least on BF and a few weeks in Dec.  At that price, it's going to do great.  A $199-$249 RDR2/COD/SWBF2 bundle is going to help it at least be on par with last season.  There may also be a few surprise announcements at E3, as well.