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Miguel_Zorro said:

Gaming Analyst Michael Pachter has been around for 10 years now.  He makes a lot of predictions.  They generate a lot of controversy here, often because he says things that we don't want to hear.

He also has a reputation for being wrong a lot.  So I asked myself - is he actually wrong more often, or do we just selectively remember the times that he was wrong?  Or do we just choose to believe he is wrong because we don't like his predictions?

In this thread, I'll make a list of his predictions, and track which ones were correct.  Feel free to help.  I ask that any predictions and results come with cited sources.

I believe he's more often wrong if you don't count as a prediction when he's captain obvious, when he contradict himself, or when he have a wide mergin of error (for xbox, he could have predicted 20, 25 or 30, that's a whole difference but it would still be "close"). Most of his predictions are stupidities or mistakes, he does not have a better understanding of the market than the average joe here.