Bold Prediction: Switch Will Sell 4mil Units by Years End in Japan!

[zorg1000]

zelmusario said:

zorg1000 said:

You dont think Zelda, Mario Kart, Splatoon, 3D Mario & Dragon Quest are big system sellers?

Absolutely, I would. But 4 million sounds like a lot without a more Japan-centric title. All of the ones you mentioned will be big, no doubt. It just seemed (with my limited amount of knowledge) like 4 million was a very ambitious prediction without Pokemon. But Switch hype is chugging along full-strength right now, so I would love to be proven wrong!  

Take a look at 3DS lineup in 2011 for comparison, it did 4.3 million that year. Here are the big sellers for 3DS in Japan in 2011 and the amount they sold that year.

Professor Layton Miracle Mask-355,000 (February)

Nintendogs+Cats-455,000 (February)

Ocarina of Time 3D-490,000 (June)

Monster Hunter 3G-987,000 (December)

Super Mario 3D Land-1,092,000 (November)

Mario Kart 7-1,190,000 (December)

So you had a couple of big launch titles in February and a few huge holiday titles with a 13 year old remaster as the only major title in between. Switch has a much better lineup of big games and they are spread out through the year.