This is such a worthless analysis. Here's my breakdown of the "analysis"...
DFC says they look at the past to predict the future. They use the PS1 and PS2 popularity to predict the PS3 will eventually become popular. Thats really insightful, but how does that demonstrate how the Wii is popular now. Furthermore, why not look at how in the past, expensive consoles were always flops.
DFC claims that the Wii's popularity is not going to last forever. But did DFC look at who is buying Wii's? Its the general consumer who are buying Wii's. The Wii is getting picked up by general consumers and hardcore/casual gamers. Who is buying PS3s? Who is buying X-Box 360s? What exists more, general consumers or hardcore/casual gamers? DFC thinks they can magically discount the Wii's appeal by saying it won't last long.
DFC is betting that a AAA game is going to sell a lot of PS3s. A AAA game is not what's making the Wii sell-out, if the Wii is selling-out without a AAA game, why would the PS3 sell-out with a AAA game? Frankly, I think most gamers are burned out of AAA games and their high price tag. The power of a true AAA game hasn't been demonstrated- but did Gears of War really sell consoles for the Microsoft? Did Resistance really sell a lot of PS3s?
The big question is: Will GTA/MGS/FF be enough to sell PS3s/360s? If gamers say, "PS3 + GTA/MGS/FF is not enough" then Sony is dead. The machine is too expensive for anyone to buy it for just 3 games that are all sequels and provide more of the same gameplay.
The Wii already won. Get it in your head. If your grandmother and your baby sister wants to buy the console, the console already won. I cannot believe people STILL think the Wii will not "win" this console generation. The stupid machine has continuously sold out since November. Can you not understand that? Sheesh.
