thismeintiel said:
2019, but nice use of hyperbole. Will it be top of the line by then? No. But, that makes it perfect for a $399 game console. |
It's not Hyperbole.
Polaris - 2016.
Vega - 2017.
Navi - 2018.
Navi Successor - 2019.
Successor to Navi Successor - 2020.
I doubt 2019 will see the release of the next gen. But even in 2019, Vega will be far from the latest and greatest and far from being an efficient design to other alternatives.
AMD's Fury with HBM for example is only 2 years old and it's performance isn't holding up.
A semi-custom Navi Successor would likely make more sense. Not Vega.
Ryzen is going to be slower, hotter and use more power than Intel.
Ryzen+ (Refined Ryzen) will drop in 2018.
Successor to the Zen architecture should arrive in 2019/2020.
AMD expects to replace AM4 in 3-5 years, depending on the market. (I wan't them to release a high-end chipset and high-end motherboards, so hopefully AM4 is short-lived.)
AMD may release a successor to it's Cat cores, which the next-gen consoles will probably use anyway rather than anything Zen based. (AMD has stated it is working on other CPU Architectures.)
And then we have the Fabrication side of things. Want me to elaborate on that and why 2019 is not likely?
Aura7541 said:
What are your thoughts on Zen+ and Vega 20? |
Not enough information on Zen+. But it should be a good refinement, hopefuly AMD takes a unified L3 cache approach with it.
Zen is just to get AMD's foot in the door, a good platform to iterate upon yearly, it will still loose to Intel.
As for Vega. Vega took me by surprise, I didn't expect to see such a large amount of core improvements with AMD's new NCU architecture, I was expecting to see it in Navi.
Thus... Navi should prove to be extremely interesting.
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