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Nuvendil on 26 January 2017
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GribbleGrunger said:
Intrinsic said:

I see the first two going to PS4..... and everything else going to the NS. Don't forget that this is its first holiday. And I see people are already making the same mistakes withe the scorpio that they made with teh PS4pro. Its not going to sell nearly as much as some seem to think its gonna sell.

Don't underestimate a false 'next gen' narrative. All it takes is for a couple of XB1 devs to talk in those terms and the fans run with it on social media, leaving MS to just shrug and pretend they never said that. Having scanned through the GAF DF thread, I can tell you MANY XB1 owners are already arguing it's a 'next gen' console. It's not set in stone but the masons are readying their chizels.

Well the issue with that narrative is that people are going to want to see it heading to launch.  And the problem is Scorpio games are going to look eerily similar to PS4 Pro games, I guarantee it.  If the Xbox brand were half as healthy as it was in the mid to late 2000s, it might fly on brand power.  But let's just be brutally honest, even after 4 years of trying to piece itself back together after the Xbone reveal event, the brand is still a shadow of its former self in terms of raw strength.  And canceling exclusives, shutting down studios, and making all exclusives shared with Windows 10 isn't helping matters at all and undermines confidence that the Xbox brand will even still be hear much longer.

I anticipate it will have a big preorder rush, just like the PS4 Pro; it will hamper sales of standard SKUs just like the Pro; it will have a good launch just like the Pro; and then it will settle into a somewhat niche market catering to subset of console gamers, just like the Pro. And that's assuming it isn't too pricey. If it launches at $500 around the Holidays then I think it could completely skip that second to last step since I could easily see seasonal sales for the Switch at $250 and PS4 Pro for $350 or even $300 for Black Friday.  And given that, as I said, Scorpio games won't look much if at all better than Pro games...you get the idea.