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Nuvendil said:

So I know there has been a lot of talk about the Switch being very understocked for the month of March but then someone pointed out to me and I looked it up to be sure:

The PS4 sold just under 2.5 million units in its first 4 weeks. The Xbone just over 2.2 million.

And they launched in November, one of the top two most active retail months.

So with that in mind, is 2 million for the Switch's first 4 weeks not plenty high? Especially given it launches in March, a far less active month at retail? And wouldn't easily selling out of that first big wave be an accomplishment worthy of note???

 

Edit: ok forgot Japan launched months later, when you align them you get somewhere around 2.9 mil.  But again, Switch is launching in March, so I think 2 million with the possibility of more seems adequate.

The first Problem is that both xbone and Ps4 had a staggered release while Switch is launching simultaneously worldwide.

The second, and larger problem imo, is that the teaser trailer as well as the Jimmy Fellon reveal positioned the Switch more firmly in the Handheld space than the Switch presentation did. Those first two things are the ones more casual users, the vast majority of users on the 3DS, are more likely to have seen. For comparisons sake, the 3DS launched in March at a 250$ pricepoint and did 3,6 Million in just under three weeks, if I remember correctly.

For a home console launch in March 2 million seems decent enough, for a Nintendo handheld on the other hand it's vastly understocked. With the Swich being a hybrid Nintendos initial shipment should have been more along the lines of 3 million imo.

We already know from the data gamestop gave out that Nintendo only managed to satisfy 2/3 of initial demand before pre-orders went out of stock. Of course we don't know how big their initial pre-order allocation was exactly, but with gamestop having secured 500.000 units just for the US and still having a 250k waiting list, it seems like 3 million would have been the sweet spot.