So long as all three are profitable, I don't see any of them "leaving". I could see MS transitioning to a pure XboxTV type of device that is almost identical to running an "xbox" game on the PC but its connected to your TV and all games are digital. MS has a big issue with lack of 1st party and is becoming more and more of a streamlined media PC on your TV type of box.
Sony, idk. Playstation is a good IP for them and they do have a stable 1st party, though not as deep as Nintendo. I see them always having a Playstation device and it continuing to be gaming focus but with significant other media functionality. They'll continue to leverage Nintendo's ideas as grow a "VC"-like experience focused on their back catalog.
Nintendo will continue to create gaming-centric devices and its 1st party can continue to grow and sustain itself. They could have several WiiUs before they need to move one from gaming. NS will be profitable and doesn't even need to be a 100MM selling console.
So who will "leave" first is not a valid question. None will leave gaming. They will continue to evolve but the three brands will continue to offer gaming machines.
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