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Best Case Scenario:

Surge in violence occurs but quickly dies down, Iraqi army and police manage to keep some measure of control over the vast majority of the country.


Worst Case Scenario:

Iraq quickly splits on ethnic lines into Sunni, Shiite and Kurdish states. Sunni and Shiite states quickly become hostile to one another and war occurs between them. Civil war occurs in Iran and Turkey as Kurdish rebels in these countries try to join the Kurdish state.