My late response:
1) Good point! But I wonder for how long they can keep this up. Mario Run kinda misfired, and I'm not sure it'll move a lot of HW units; they should have gone f2p on this one, especially since their next mobile games are Fire Emblem and Animal Crossing, with only one of those having a potential mainstream appeal...
2) Yes, Nintendo shouldn't listen all that much to hardcore fans, since hardcore fans only want a hardcore service.
3) Good throw back to GC and Wii! Really paints the picture of a new generation being a blank canvas.
4) I don't quite agree; having Western support can never be a negative thing, and lacking said support might very well be harmful.
5) I actually think the launch lineup is pretty weak for the first few months; people can't be expected to ONLY play Mario Kart and Zelda (while a great way to start your new gen with); they need something else to occupy their time with as well. The first year really has great games ( 3 potential GOTY's), but it's also important what you sprinkle in between the big releases.
6) Yes, Nintendo has been more focused as of late to only announce games that's actually in the pipe line, they haven't been focusing on games that's ready 2 years down the line - with the notable exception of Zelda.
7) Yup. Nintendo's main/unique selling point isn't new tech, it isn't about a new gimmick, it's their games.
8) I'm not entirely sure I get this point...? But I think there might be a chance that Switch will sell equal to, or less than, the 3DS - but it's really too early to tell right now. We'll see what's up this Holiday season.
9) Let's be real; a passionate gamer already owns one of the 8th gen consoles, or a PC, so that's bad wording on your part. I'm actually unsure of the validity of this argument, but I guess only time will tell; you could be right, but it feels rather far fetched.
10) The alternatives are mobile gaming, which is where all the "casualz" has gone. And since I'm unsure how the big market group of point 9 is, this is the market Nintendo should be appealing to - it's what made Wii so successful, and that's also why the failre of the GC didn't matter, because Nintendo tapped into a market that were more or less oblivious to it.
You make a lot of good point, but it's in the latter half of the OP where you kinda trails of into speculation, and it's here your arguments get weaker.
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