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I think the switch will be OK, it may sell like 30m, Wii U die so fast because Nintendo... After launch we got nothing! for a couple of months. The switch while it doesn't have a lot of games at launch, it has a Zelda game, 2 months later MK8 Deluxe, and 2 months after Splatoon 2(which a lot of people like) Holiday 3D Mario and probably XC2 and whatever gets throw in this year(Pikmin 4?) It has the tools to survie this year with great sales, to me the real test will be 2018 to refresh the sales? my money is on Smash.