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NUser said:

I still do see the switch having a chance of an decent success:

If nintendo sells it as a iPad mini that can also play real console like games and nintendo games.
The price is compareable to and iPad/Android tablet, so as long as it can do what tablets can do (web surfing, netflix, amazon video, sky, facebook, youtube, instagram, photo editing, video editing, cloud storage like dropbox, calendar and such) I can see many people who are thinking about getting a tablet: "well, why not getting the switch, it does everything a ipad mini can do but im also able to play some mario / mario kart / zelda" and the price is the same/better.

That would be a huge selling point imo.

This.  And I say it because I belong to that group.

And I would add to that that the power of IPs like Pokemon, Zelda, Mario Kart, Marios, etc should be enough to attract a good chunk of the 3DS crowd.

In the end is too early to give a prediction, but just for the heck of it I'm gonna go ahead and say 25m as worst case scenario - 80m as best case scenario.

But I have a question for the OP:  What was your initial prediction for the Wii U when it was revealed?