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pokoko said:
UltimateUnknown said:

A significant portion of the Wii U audience (at least 10 million) will buy this because they are hardcore Nintendo fans.

But saying that the Switch will sell double Wii U to be a success is pretty horrendous. The Wii U+3DS sold about 80 million. If the Switch did 30 million it would be an absolute travesty considering it is the first console in Nintendo history that is both the successor to the portable and the home console market.

I think therein lies the biggest problem though. Nintendo handhelds have always been successful given their low price points. The Switch is a $300 handheld if you consider it a successor to the 3DS. Remember how bad the 3DS was doing at $250? This costs $300. There is no way the Switch at that price point sells to the same audience that bought a much cheaper 3DS (at around half that price) after price cut. At this rate it probably will do double Wii U, but that's pretty bad when you realise that this thing is supposed to be the successor of the 3DS as well which sold around 65 million.

I'm a bit confused.  I said double the Wii U would be a dismal failure.  

Though, the Switch doesn't have to sell as much as Wii U + 3DS.  The key is going to be software and the hope that the attach rate soars (which it might not).

Haha I was agreeing with you lol.

From Nintendo's perspective I can't imagine they would be at all happy if it did less than Wii U + 3DS because Wii U + 3DS tanked compared to Wii + DS. If you consider Wii and DS as being outliers, the Wii U + 3DS did much less than every other Nintendo home console and handheld combination as well.

Given that Wii U + 3DS was already down so much from previous gens, Switch doing even less, potentially half of that is a pretty massive cause for concern for Nintendo. Their home console market was already dying with the Wii U, but with the Switch's price point they might just kill their handheld market as well. There needs to be an agressive price cut at some point like the 3DS.