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The Switch is more expensive, with an incoming price surprise ("You'll have to pay for online later... We'll talk about how much you own us then!"), expensive accessories, no big exclusive game at launch (Zelda being on Wii U too), almost no third party support (Skyrim 6 months later, yeah...).

The launch could be okay because all the big Nintendo fans will buy it. After that, it could sell really badly to the broad audience. Why would you pay more for a console less powerful and without games? (OK? let's be nice... with really really really really really really really really really really fewer games?)

It would be surprising if it sells more than the PS4. March and maybe April should be won by the Switch, but I don't think it will be enough to compensate all the other months.