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Well, I'm more leaning towards a middling success. Around 30M-60M LT, depending on price. Most core gamers won't care, as they are satisfied with the much more powerful PS4 and XBO. If they want to play an occasional mobile game, their phone/tablet will do just fine. Casuals will have just gotten $50-$150 tablets for Xmas that'll play any mobile game they wish. I think they're going to be turned off by the $249+ price Nintendo is probably going to be asking for this thing. If they do launch at that price, I see more in the ~30-40M range. If they can actually sell it for $199, then it'll be closer to 60M.