Is the game industry headed for a new crash?

[Intrinsic]

Pyro as Bill said:

New IPs

~1m+ sellers (exc Nintendo)

3 years v 2 years. Bigger install base.

2014-2016	2007-2008
29m-71m+ install base	25m-46m install base
Destiny	Assassin's Creed
DriveClub	Ben 10: Protector of Earth
Plants vs. Zombies: Garden Warfare	BioShock
Sunset Overdrive	Crysis
The Crew	DiRT
The Evil Within	Heavenly Sword
Titanfall	Kane & Lynch: Dead Men
Watch Dogs	Lost Odyssey
Mad Max (2015)	Mass Effect
Project CARS	Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
The Order: 1886	Skate
Until Dawn	Stranglehold
No Man's Sky	The Orange Box
Overwatch	The Simpsons Game
Bloodborne	Two Worlds
Dying Light	Uncharted: Drake's Fortune
	Warhawk
	Worldwide Soccer Manager 2008
	Army of Two
	BioShock
	Brothers in Arms: Hell's Highway
	Haze
	Infinite Undiscovery
	Kung Fu Panda
	Left 4 Dead
	LittleBigPlanet
	Mass Effect
	Mortal Kombat vs. DC Universe
	Pure
	Shaun White Snowboarding
	Spore
	Too Human

Quick-list. Not wholly accurate. Debatable 'new' IPs.

Looks to me like the CoD audience quickly jumped into the new gen and this gen is frontloaded.

Without the 1m+ shovelware cashins that the Wii/DS provided, there's less money in the pot for new IPs.

Install base argument is mute. I don't see how this gen is going to match last gen for successful (1m+) new IPs.

thats a reslly strange way to make that list..... Why not just do first three years vs first three years?

So we should be looking at 2013-2016 for 8th gen and 2005-2008 for 7th gen. 

Another thing to consider is that with 8th gen, due to  the smaller leap from sub HD to full HD as opposed to going from SD to hd Meant that this gen had a lot more cross platform cross gen games than the last gen. Once the new hardware came out in 2005/2006 there were very fee games released across the PS2/xB and the PS3/360