How much does the switch have to sell to be a success?

[Frogger]

zorg1000 said:

spemanig said:

Just read them. My point still stands.

If the question is about relevance, their other business ventures are relevant (sorry) to this discussion. The entire purpose of these ventures is to increase the relevance of Nintendo's brand and IP.

Your question asked if selling less hardware and more hardware, would they be declining in relevance. Yes. There are less people buying the same product. If the Switch sells 30m units, but 20m copies of MK8, that is bad because it's the same people buying every other Nintendo franchise. It's relevant to THEM, but not in general. The more overlap there is between franchise audiences, the less relevant the platform as a whole is.

A huge decline to 30 would of course be considered losing relevance, that would be like a 60% decline.

I was talking about a small decline, say 10-20%, would a drop to 65-70 million from 80 million be considered declining in relevance if most of their franchises see growth?

Well I was using an extreme to prove a point. If less people are buying more things, that's still losing relevance. If 100 people in a school own a Wii U, and 20 of them have Splatoon, it wouldn't be gaining relevance if 80 of those people end up owning a Switch, but now 30 people have Splatoon 2. The group of people with access to Splatoon has shrunk. Let's go further.

After that 70 people own a Switch 2, and 40 of them own Splatoon 3. Next, 60 people own a Switch 3, but hey, now Splatoon 4 has sold 50 in Hypothetical High. You see what I mean? The increase in software doesn't matter when it comes to relevance. The reach the franchise has does. A lower install base lowers its reach, which makes these things less relevant.