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Barkley said:
fleischr said:

What's your source of numbers? I'm genuinely curious.

A survey size of 500 is at least somewhat statistically relevant.

No It's not, not in the slightest. They got 500 Angry Birds Players aged over 18 that live in the USA. That's supposed to be statistically relevant compared to 1 billion people of all ages from all over the world? It's a complete joke xD

Sources are on Wikipedia, majority of information are the latest figures given by the developers.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_best-selling_video_games#Mobile_phone

Angry birds only at 12 million paid downloads was in 2010 - with 42 million free downloads. A lot has changed since then.

http://mashable.com/2010/12/08/angry-birds-hits-42-million-downloads/#K415Pxi5Yqqg

That game has since cleared 2 billion downloads of all kinds

https://www.vg247.com/2014/01/22/angry-birds-downloaded-2-billion-times-has-as-many-maus-as-twitter/

Even if paid download attach rate dipped to 10% over those other 2 billion ish downloads - it still would have cleared 200 million paid downloads in it's lifetime.

For a successful mobile game to cross over into several hundred million paid downloads isn't out of the question.

I'd argue that Minecraft is a significantly more complex game for casuals to really get into - hence only the 30 million downloads.



I predict NX launches in 2017 - not 2016