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curl-6 said:

3DS shipping and production likely won't end next year though. It will still be on shelves and in the pipes when PS4 beats it.

That 4 million gain came from a 101 million gain in install base. The chances of Switch delivering that kind of install base are remote.

It would be ramped down heavily after next year.

The 4 million gain came from the momentum of a successful platform not the total number in the userbase, Switch doesn't need to deliver the same install base it just needs to deliver good momentum for the unified userbase, for example Wii U and 3DS combined won't equal the 100m of the Wii but Smash 4 has equalled Brawl's numbers in combined sales.