| Trentonater said: Get over yourself. Hillary didn't come anywhere close to the number of votes for Obama in either election. Bernie and literally ever other candidate not named Hillary give Trump a one-sided stomp in every poll with general election voters. Brexit turnout was extremely high in every demographic. The real cause of Brexit is the gap between england/wales and Scotland/northern ireland. You still don't get it. Sander's demographics in the primary says absolutely nothing about him with the general populace. Don't you think Sander's would make the millenials turn out more? After all they now out-number baby boomers. So Trump would not recieve any more votes since he already had maximum enthusiasm yet Sanders would greatly increase it for democratic voters. You are talking about another anti-establishment candidate. I predicted Trump's win because of the enthusiasm gap that was plain to see. |
You need to stop denying hard data. Hillary Clinton came in a near million within Obama's 2012 re-election. You should never put in absolute trust with pollsters if we take a look at this election and Bernie is even more overestimated considering the election was still far away at the time and no Brexit turnout wasn't extremely high in every age demographic, the 65+ and up age group were 40% more likely to cast a ballot than those aged 18-24 ...
You can't really claim that Sander's demographics in the primary says NOTHING about him with the general populace when he had 3 and a half a million from his OWN party less likely to support his bid for election plus there's the fact that OVER 30 million people participated in it. Yes I do think Sander's would've turned out more millenial voters but that however does not mean that his likely voters are a superset of Hillary's likely voters since her older voters would've defected from voting for Sander's ...
There's more to Trump's victory than just enthusiasm gap such as parties having difficulties holding holding the whitehouse for more than two terms. Sander's less than ideal performance in the primaries with swing states indicated he would've badly lost in Florida, Ohio, North Carolina and those states are very highly correlated to other swing states like Wisconsin or Pennsylvania as well ...
Really, no matter how you look at it there was even less paths of victory for Bernie Sanders compared to Hillary Clinton ...
