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It all depends, Bush looked certain to be defeated in 2004 but he got 12 million more votes from the last election.

I doubt that is the case but I think the next election will see both candidates at 65 million plus votes.

Trump did lose the popular votes but he also got the most votes ever for a GOPer.

 

It all depends, If the democrats run the score in California it does not matter in the big picture.