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Darwinianevolution said:

Also, in this bit of yours:


"I'm not extremely confident, but I'd say stefl has a good chance of being mafia, or a survivor maybe, unlikely to be a power role (though he concludes there are potentially mediocre power roles).
I'll say 50% mafia, 40% survivor, 10% mediocre town power"

I don't get it. If there are 13 people playing this, shouldn't he (and any of us, really) have a more or less 60% chance of being innocent? I can't say whether he is or not guilty because I have no idea of his playstyle, but you? What's your reasoning for the numbers? Also, again, what is the survival rol?

I believe he's going off the bit where Stefl assumed what type of game this was, presumably basing it off of his own role.