Nymeria on 08 November 2016
| Nymeria said: I'll try to put final prediction tomorrow before any polls close. Much harder to gauge than 2008 and 2012 were. |
My final map before I go to vote today.
Nevada, North Carolina, and Florida were three I had hardest time settling one given how frequently they fell in the margin or error. In the end I think Trump's rhetoric against hispanics may cost him Florida and Nevada assuming voter turn out in those communities is high. North Carolina is a coin flip it seems, so gave slight edge to Trump there.
In any event I don't see his path to victory and would say Clinton has a 90% chance of being the next president given what she can afford to go wrong today (lose Nevada, North Carolina, and Florida) and still get to 270.
