Prediction: Trump Wins Popular Vote, but Clinton Wins Electoral Vote

[Veknoid_Outcast]

Mr.GameCrazy said:

Veknoid_Outcast said:
The opposite is actually much more likely.

I don't know about that, but it will definitely be a close election.

No it is statistically much more likely for Clinton to win the popular vote and lose the electoral college than the other way around.

Nationally she is polling about 4% ahead of Trump, but state polls in the so-called Rust Belt are tightening, meaning Trump could squeak by in Ohio and claim 270+ electoral votes but lose the popular vote by a few percentage points. According to polling aggregate site 538 there's about a 12 percent chance of this happening. The odds of your scenario coming to pass are less than 1 out of 100.