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The debates are over and now just a couple weeks away and think the outcome looks pretty well set.

Clinton has roughly a 90% chance of winning now given all the aggregate polling data across the states. In every swing state she is competitive with a chance to sweep every one (Iowa and Ohio being tightest races) not being unthinkable.

Trump's outlook is pretty bleak, essentially in the next week (keep in mind early voting is already occurring) something massive has to happen to move so many states enough points to give him a path to 270. Instead of pushing into Pennsylvania or Michigan, much of the discussion has been holding onto Arizona, Georgia, or even Texas or Utah.

My final map has Clinton winning comfortably electorally even if some of these such as Florida, North Carolina, and Ohio will be close. This total puts her between Obama's 2008 and 2012 victories.



Final predictions before election day?