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Lawlight on 25 October 2016
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zorg1000 said:
Lawlight said:

Wii was a fad and an outlier and, along, with the DS captured an audience that is never ever coming back.

You're telling me that no one saw the 3DS and WiiU sales situation coming? I know I did. So stop using the exceptions to prove your point. Unless you're saying the Switch can make people stop carrying smartphones around or that people will move from the PS4 or X1 to the Switch. Think those things can happen?

I gave you a whole list of "outliers" yet you decide to focus on just one.

You cant just disregard anything that doesnt support your argument.

Sega Genesis was an outlier, no other Sega device has sold over 15 million.

Gameboy was an outlier, no other device has ever had its best sales year a decade after launch.

Wii was an outlier, all Nintendo consoles had sold less than their predeccessor up to that point.

360 was an outlier, no American made console had ever sold over 40 million.

PSP was an outlier, no other non-Nintendo portable gaming device had ever been successful.

PS3 was an outlier, both previous PS consoles had over 70% marketshare.

At some point you have to realize, these arent "outliers" and that the gaming industry doesnt simply follow trends.

Let me guess, if Switch is successful than it will be an outlier as well?

I think you don't know what a trend is. A trend is a general direction - go check the definition. It is by no means a strict pattern.

Let me give you some trends:

- Handheld gaming is declining.

- Nintendo consoles are losing their importance in the market.

- PS winning a generation.

The Switch will be successful but it won't be more successful that the 3DS and will further demonstrate that handheld gaming is declining.