(Update: 100 million mark reached!)Prediction:Switch will go on to sell 100+ million units

[DonFerrari]

Nautilus said:

HollyGamer said:

I am just giving some sugestion (take it or leave it) , first, you should change your thread title to " how to make " switch sells more then 100m". Your writing full of sugestion and and your own idea on how  to make switch succes, rather then pointing  on where you get the ideal number, or how you get  the formula to get that number, and where did you get the data. Please respect people in here also , who want seriously read  sales prediction. I dont want to argue because there is nothing to argue in it.  It will never become a good discussion if the content is lack of effort , i like to discuss sales and etc. but your writing is just lack of data. 

Lacks effort?Really?I may not have show much numbers, but I have show evidences, logics behind my reasoning and much more.What kind of numbers do you want when there is no hybrid machine in the market?If that were so, everyone should predict that VR is general will fail because the virtual boy failed.I mean, its data, numbers right there.If you dont have precedence, how do you want make it more based on numbers?Not to mention that, while I did not write in the initail post, I did point out that Nintendo could appeal to the 3DS and Vita consumer.Vita because the Switch is a natural evolution of it and 3DS because the Switch is, if Nintendo dosent fuck with it, an excellent system as a handheld.

My point is, its great when you have more numbers, more facts and more evidence to back it up.But there are more than one way to prove a point.Making reasonable assertions based on  trends, or a logical deduction of something is also valid.I am making serious sales predictions.I am not saying "Ohhhhh 100 is a round and nice number".I was trying to base more on thing we have better knoledge off, instead of just accepting any kind of rumor that have been circulating as true and build my arguments on that.It makes the reasoning more credible and simply more grounded.

Now, if it either too hard for you to understand my logic, or that you think that sales discussion is only about numbers and dosent take account consumer mentality, market acceptance to a product, brand awareness,technology adaptance and many more, then Im sorry but I dont have anything else that i can say to you for you to see my point

Your way of reading the market and saying "if there wasn't any product like that then it's impossible to look at the past and look at data to do my analysis" or that "VR would fail based on VirtuaBoy" would make you a very non-sucessfull enterpreneur.

You can always look at market trends to predict your product even if one like yours were never released, because nothing is completely different from all products ever released, they already have some type of market or similarity to other products.

And on VirtuaBoy... Vive, Ocullus and the like haven't sold over 1M yet so you could say they are still on flop state. But they could suceed... the VirtuaBoy comparison would be valid if a system were being released like 1-3 years after it, but 20 years is a completely different market to even compare.

HyrulianScrolls said:

Excluding both the DS and Wii, If the Switch sells on par with the typical Nintendo handheld (70-100m) combined with the typical Nintendo home console from the past 20 years (15-30m) then 100 should certainly be achievable or at least get close. Some people are being way too cynical and not realizing the automatic sales boost NS will get from being the only Nintendo console on the market and no handheld competitor.