(Update: 100 million mark reached!)Prediction:Switch will go on to sell 100+ million units

[Nautilus]

Faelco said:

Nautilus said:

Trying to downplay someone elses opinion without counter argumenting, on the other hand, needs nothing more than ignorance! XD

Here, if you didn't read your own thread, page 7...

Faelco said:

Why stop at 1? More than 7 billions humans on the planet, so 7 billions is the minimum! We know most of us will buy several consoles...

 

Realistically speaking, we don't know enough about it to really predict the sales. 100M is almost impossible though. Depending on the details (price, power, battery...), it could be from 20m to 50m IMO. Don't forget that when it'll get to 10 or 20M, 100M people will already own a PS4 or Xbox One. The market doesn't have an infinite number of buyers (the total number of buyers on this gen will most likely be between 150 and 200M, depending on the Switch's success). Let's not forget the really bad release timing either, in March between the PS4 Pro Christmas and the Xbox Scorpio Chrismas (3 months only before the Scorpio E3). The audience able to increase the Switch's sales is the 3DS audience. As long as the 3DS is alive, the Switch's sales won't be that great. And when the 3DS will die, if they don't release the 3DS2, they'll still need to attract the audience to the Switch instead of the other mobiles/tablets. We're still not sure about the future of handheld Nintendo consoles, they're not clear about it (and the 3DS is their backup plan for now, so they won't be clear about it for a while). I think that a lot of 3DS players won't buy a Switch, like a lot of DS players didn't buy a 3DS...

More numbers than in your 3 pages long OP... I gave other arguments in others of the 485356 "The NX is perfect" threads if you want, but hey, we both know that the arguments "against" the Switch's success are ignored by a lot of people.

My comment was more directed to the other user.While your argument above simply skips many parts of my own argument, that is the Switch wont target only the core gamers and also those that are very casuals, such as the ones that bought the Wii or ones that have interest in Nintendo IPs due to childhood memories(or whatever other reason), through the marketing with the mobile games/movies and all those things(and I shown data that this could work), Im not saying you dont have a reasoning behind your arguments.I mean, you are also right.There are many factors(again, as it is stated in the OP) that could change everything.Plus, its not like "I bought a PS4, Ill never buy another console ever again".I mean, most people that will buy the PS4 Pro probably are already owners of the regular PS4.Thinking they could jump/buy an extra console is not that hard.

Im just tired of people claiming that Nintendo wont be able to have a successful console based on stupid reasons, and not giving ny real arguments with data to back them up, as like:

A)Its Nintendo, they are always doomed compared to Sony and Microsoft when home console is the subject.

B)SPECS!If its not cutting edge and running on 8K, its doomed from the start.

C)People acusing users who defend Nintendo of jumping to conclusions, when they themselves jump to conclusions.

But Ill give you this:You do know how to argument.Thats more than some users that come bashing Nintendo without having anything to say against.But you then go on to say "Let's not forget the really bad release timing either, in March between the PS4 Pro Christmas and the Xbox Scorpio Chrismas".Why is it a bad timing?Couldnt Scorpio timing be bad, because the Switch could, I dont know, sell like hotcakes and steal all the hype for scorpio?(fun fact:I saw somewhere, that the twitter trend for Switch was about 5 times higher than the trend for RDR2.In other words, even with that hyped game, people wanted to talk about Nintendo)What I mean is, its ALWAYS a "bad timing" for Nintendo to release their stuff.If it was this christams, people would have said it would be suicide against PS4 Pro and PSVR.If it were 2018, because the installed base of PS4 and XOne would be too big.If 2019, it would be bad because of PS5.For some users here, its always a bad timing, and they cant rationalize beyong the Nintendo is doomed perspective.