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I doubt it will reach that number. i don't think it will sell more than 20m.
It may be able to replace tablets and reach more than 50m, if it can run Android for GooglePlay games ( or iOS ).

It can't replace ps4 in homes, ps4 game library is too big. Outside of homes, GooglePlay and iOs games are the winners. Seriously, do you really want to go outside to play a video game for 3 hours, then go back to home to recharge? LoL. Core gamers don't do that, only casual gamers.

Like most parents, i will definitely buy switch for my kids but i certainly won't use it.