I'd say its success depends a lot on the price. I can see many people thinking that the concept is interesting (the concept is not confusing imo) but at the same time I don't see them buying it for more than $250. Of course, a constant flow of games is very important too. Nintendo's game output for it will be better than what Wii U got because now they can focus on a single platform instead of having to develop for a handheld and a console separately. If it gets mobile apps, it would be a good addition to attract the general public. Since it's also the replacement of the 3DS, it will get Pokemon, which will be a HUGE deal. Getting Monster Hunter and Dragon Quest will help it a lot in Japan. I think it'll get good Japanese third party support since it's also a handheld but there's a high chance that its Western third party support will go away in the future (hopefully it doesn't).
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