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this is their handheld replacement despite their insistence it is not. i don't see this getting traction with the old wii audience but nintendo's core portable and home console audience that bought 3DSs and wiiUs will likely buy.

i'm going to say ~50 million.

1 device means removing redundancy on those that traditionally buy both devices.
handhelds are dying so the portable would have been down 10-20% regardless.