| Shadow1980 said:
All the states where Hillary has a comfortable lead in the polling averages are sufficient to give her the 270+ EC votes needed to win. Unless Trump can make some strong headways in the key Rust Belt states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, which haven't gone Republican since the 80s, and somehow flip increasingly-blue Virginia, Colorado, and New Hampshire back to the GOP column, then his chances of winning the election are almost nil. Of course, if you have the same conspiratorial mindset as Trump and think the polls are all rigged in Hillary's favor, well, I just wasted my time posting this. |
The whole polling thing has been very interesting in the UK lately where the last 2 significant votes posted out completely different to most polls.
This seems to have led to "the polls are rigged" that I keep hearing. But I dont think that's the case.
I think it's more people are telling polls what they think they should be saying. (See Clinton's statement about what half of trumps supporters are) then when it comes to the actual voting booth do something different.
It was "shy Tories" then "shy leavers". But personally, no matter what tenatious links they try to make with Trump and Brexit, I just honestly don't see people who aren't already pro trump/anti Hillary just keeping quiet because they're afraid of the judgement.
I'd suspect the polls are a lot more accurate this one.










