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Imaginedvl said:
Normchacho said:

You're mistaking the available information with pundits. 

 

The data showed that he was going to win. Back in April Predictwise gave him an 80% chance of winning on the first ballot. 

I think you are mistaking it, not me. I'm pretty sude suveys were predicting Drumpf to never even be close to win the nomination for a long time.
Maybe you were hiding your head under a rock or something but I'm not making this up.

And yes at the end when it was obvious for Drumpf to win; the "data" showed him winning for sure (in April and so).

Same goes for now and like the nomination demonstrated, nothing is sure at all even with the "currently available data".
And looking at how things are going for Clinton lately, I do not think anything can be predictable at this point. Let's see after the debate.

By the way, I'm not a Drumpf supporter for your information (not that Clinton is really better anyway) but I would never vote for him.

You're pretty sure there were surveys? That's not really a very strong counter point.

Predictwise had Trump winning the nomination back in late February (a 54% chance of winning on 02/21/2016). 

The data showed he was going to win.



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