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I think it will be close, but I don't see his path to victory right now. He has to hold so many states while flipping other states.

Right now he could win Florida, North Carolina, and Ohio and it still would not be enough to achieve 270 electoral votes. Need to keep in mind how the president is elected, Obama beat Romney 65 million to 60 million, but electorally it was a 332 to 206 margin of victory.

I am still looking to the debates and how they might affect those critical swing states.