Shadow1980 said:
If there were no price cuts or new models this year for the PS4, I would have estimated it to be around 5.7-5.8M. However, I suspect the Slim and Neo together to provide at least a 20% YoY increase for Q4 this year over Q4 2015 figures. September should be at least 300k as well if the Slim launches early enough. That would put the PS4 at around 2230k for the Q1-Q3 period. Assuming Q4 is exactly 20% higher than last Q4, that's at least 6.3M for the year. However, that's a conservative estimate. A 30% YoY boost for Q4 sales, which could be likely if the Slim gets a temporary $50 price cut for Black Friday weekend and the last couple of weeks before Christmas (which could be the new norm), would yield over 4400k for Q4, bringing the total to around 6.65M. 6.3-6.7M is the most likely range, so I just split the middle and go with 6.5M. |
Yeah PS4 probably needs to pull a 2 mill in either december or November for 6.5 million, could do it though, cus that slim will be a big time seller
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