As a Connor fan I'm dissapointed with his approach to the build up this fight. He allowed Nate into his head. Nate obviously wants the fight to go as it went the last time, and have Connor come out throwing bombs and fade in the 2nd.
I say Connor will win it, but he needs to stay composed. It can obviously go either way. I also feel that Connor needs to perform at his best to win whereas Diaz doesn't really need to and can still get a win.