Nymeria on 11 August 2016
| Bandorr said: A good thread. I'm been using 270towin a lot. Ohio is the most interesting state to me. I believe they have correctly "voted" for the president that wins every time since 1972? So I find it interesting they are leaning toward Hilary. I think the four biggest swings states are NC, ohio, Pen, and Florida. Without all 4 I can't see trump winning. |
Correct. Ohio swings back and forth and is considered a good indicator of the country's mood in general toward either party's candidate. I predict ohio fro Clinton right now largely because polling data now over six months has shown her in some form of lead over Trump. Even when he cut into her margin during the RNC she still held on and saw her lead grow after the DNC.
Of those four I'd say Pennsylvania is the hardest for Trump to win and even if he wins Ohio on my map Clinton still crosses 270 threshold. Of course if he goes all in for Pennsylvania I could see the Clinton campaign hitting Florida hard. That is the challenge Trump faces in allocating campaign reources across several battleground states.
