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LMU Uncle Alfred said:
The biggest question of all is how many gamers would really be willing to buy an NX. The new Zelda game will be on the WiiU anyways and Mario will be Mario. I'd think by now gamers would be tired of most Mario games. Mario Kart is another story however.

Well here's 1 non Wii U owner who definitely intends to pick up an NX+Zelda. Honesly I know so many Nintendo fans who didn't touch the Wii U (I didn't get a 3DS either). The NX being a hybrid will really make it more enticing than a stand alone home console or handheld. But back to the OP, I think NX can have a successful first year off of 1st party titles with a few big 3rd party contributions just like the Wii did. By the end of the first year, developers were announcing games left, right and centre.