Console Market not contracting, becoming more focused

[thismeintiel]

Louie said:

barneystinson69 said:

I don't think so. That would make it relatively close to the 7th gen. The Wii U has practically free-falled into nothing, and the XB1 will probably barely scrape past 1/2 of the Xbox 360. The PS4 will probably outsell the PS3 a bit, but I don't see it surpassing 110 million, which for Playstation consoles is normal. That would mean we'd miss the 6th gen numbers (around 200 million) by around 30-40 million consoles.

Same here. I can't see gen 8 outselling gen 6 at this point. The PS4 is selling good but not crazy like the Wii did and I doubt it'll be around as long as the PS2. If I had to guess I'd say: 100m PS4, 50m Xbox One and less than 15m Wii U. That's 165m units. As you said, gen 6 was around 200m units total. 

It's good the PS4 isn't selling like the Wii, especially for the reason the Wii was selling.  Why would Sony want to emulate a console that crashed and burned at the end of the gen, having to crawl its way past 100M?  They don't. Not when they can emulate their own console, the PS2, which showed great longevity and sold ~160M consoles.  And like I said, the PS4 is still outpacing it, even without a full $100 pricecut since launch.  And we still have yet to get a PS4 Slim, let alone the Neo.  PS4 is going to around for awhile.