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MS, Sony and big 3rd parties have pretty much abandoned non holiday months. XB1 vastly outsells 3DS during the holiday months to make up for its losses in the earlier months. If MS keeps finding ways to push XB1 during the holidays then its sales trends will continue to do well in US and UK.

In US XB1 is only 1-2m away from PS4 and will likely end 5-10m away. So if PS4 sells 40m, then XB1 will end up with at least 30m.

Likewise for UK except smaller numbers. So XB1 is guaranteed ~40m LTD, the rest is not guaranteed. Of course it all depends on how long this gen lasts for XB1, we have at least 2 more good holidays for XB1 as old gen consoles always do well even with new gen consoles launching.