zero129 said:
thismeintiel said:
Only if you look at the small picture. However, step back and look at the large one. Last gen was the PEAK of HH gaming. We had the best selling HH ever, the DS, sell ~154M. And we also had the best selling non-Nintendo HH ever, the PSP, sell ~82M+ (more than the GBA.) That's over 236M. And what do we have this gen? The 3DS, which may not even sell half of what the 3DS sold, will be Nintendo's worst selling HH ever. And the Vita may not even hit 20M. There's no other way to look at it but that mobile gaming is killing the HH market.
Looking at home consoles is quite different. We are moving back into the more usual model where there is a clear winner of the gen, with less cross over between platform customers, and with the other 2 trailing behind it. The PS4 may not reach the PS2's total, but there is little question that it won't pass the PS3's and PS1's. Not when it hasn't even dropped more than $50 from launch almost 3 years ago, or hit the magical $299 and $199 price points. And while the XBO certainly won't pass the 360, it will be passing the OG XB. All in all, I think we will see total consoles this gen be very similar in number to Gen 6, which saw the peak of the core gaming market.
This gen also proved that millions are willing to pay $399 for a console. It also proved not many people are even willing to pay $249 for a HH. For Nintendo's sake, they better price the NX for $199, or lower. Anything higher and I don't think a lot are going to jump on.
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You lead right into where i thought you would. Now replace all them PS consoles with Nintendo handhelds and you will see why your wrong about NX.
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Uh, did you even see that I placed the Vita, a PS console, along with the 3DS to illustrate the dying HH market? Mobile gaming is a new market that is taking over HH gaming. Casuals have moved on. The core market, however, is sticking with home consoles. There's really nothing that has replaced them. The only thing that competes with consoles is PC, but those have lived side by side for decades. That's why you have millions who are still fine with paying $399 for a console, but millions who refused to buy the 3DS until it was under $170.
