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Loud_Hot_White_Box said:
DOATS1 said:
wow, what data did they use to make those predictions?

Maybe they looked at the PS2, plus anticipated price drops for PS3 making it a much better value at a low price than either of the other consoles, plus the longer-term viability of HD as opposed to SD putting a sort of upper cap on the Wii.  Plus research use of networked PS3 clusters for supercomputer purposes. ;)

The Wii could sell more than they indicate if it becomes truly household after Wii Fit.  Nintendo will have to increase production by a lot though, and the bulk of sales will have to happen relatively soon (within the years indicated on that chart.) 


1) The question isn't whether consumers will see greater value in a $300 PS3 than they would see in a $300 Wii, the real question is whether consumers will see a greater value in the $300 PS3 as compared to a $175 to $200 Wii; this really depends more on how many games with general appeal each console has, and how much value people really see in the non gaming functionality.

2) HD may be an important feature in the long term, but optimistic projections had it at a 50% penetration into American households by 2010 assuming the purchasing rates that were established in 2001 through 2006; the adoption may be slower due to the ecconomic downturn, and even if they're met that still leaves over 50% of the market because not all people who own HDTVs will care about HD gaming.

3) I don't really see any reason why the Wii has a limited timeframe while the PS3 wouldn't ...