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Ka-pi96 said:
Nope.

Although I assume you're talking about Neo/Scorpio in which case it doesn't really matter. I mean let's say the PS4 Neo sells like 10-20m consoles, that would be catastrophic by itself. But it's not by itself the regular PS4 will still be selling alongside it. So yeah, by itself = failure. With a cheaper alternative = still won't do great, but won't really matter.

If it does 20M units while the regular model keeps the pace, I would call it a success. Nobody can expect these devices to sell as good as the regular models since they will be almost 2 times the price.

It's more like a high-end model to avoid people jumping to PC towards the end of the gen. I remeber when I bought a cheap GTX650 in 2012. It was a ridiculously cheap GPU, way cheaper than a PS3 or 360. It ran Crysis on high-ultra @ 30 fps, Metro almost on ultra. PS360 looked like garbage. Right now, I have a 970, which is a pretty beefy GPU and was basically the price of my PS4 by itself. It doesn't run the games significantly better than the PS4 while my entire PC probably costs 2 times its price, so it's a tough sell for the masses.

I see these consoles having more legs than huge initial sales. As the years pass, they will become cheaper and cheaper and towards the end of the gen late adopters will be more inclined to buy the more powerful model since it won't be as outdated as the regular model.

I also don't see it as doesn't having its importance. PS360 after 2012 were a catastrophe. Almost all big games flopped and they lost users to mid-end PCs. Neo and Scorpio can remove this effect towards the last few years of the gen since they will still pack a good punch.

The alternative would be return to 5 years generations. It's not feasible anymore because complex games sometimes take 5 years to arrive. If PS360 had ended up in 2010-11, most of the best games would not make it on time or arrive in the last year. Actually, PS3 lineup only got good in 2011.