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WoodenPints on 26 June 2016
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Ka-pi96 said:
Scoobes said:

Economically this makes the most sense for both parties, but politically the EU countries need to make it look like the UK is in the shit and signing up to the free movement of people that Norway signed up to will piss off some of the people who voted to Leave (who voted on the assumption we would have complete control of our borders). That will weaken the position of the government in charge of the negotiations when the next general elections comes around. 

TBH I'm not sure it will. I expect this will strengthen the SNP in Scotland, thus making it harder for Labour there, and I just don't think they're strong enough in England to pull off a win without some success in Scotland. Hard to see anything but a Conservative government any time soon regardless, especially now that UKIP will effectively be dead and those voters will likely go back to the tories.

I really dunno how the next election will go, Labour has a useless far left leader incharge which will hurt them along with losing 50 guarenteed seats in Scotland they relied on and SNP whislt not enough to do anything themselves it makes everything else more unsure,  A lot of conservative MP's pushed for a Leave vote and may of lost trust especially if Boris somehow gets into number 10 and could split the voting for conservatives, Leave voters could switch to UKIP taking the votes from Labour and Conservative across the country. People could try go back to Lib dems taking an handful of seats from all other parties again not giving them enough to do anything but making sure no one has a majority.

I think conservatives will still take the biggest share but not close to a majority and the only thing that could be certain is a hung parliment in the next election.