Actually you could still be correct, Reggie essentially made the claims you did on the first post (No real numbers if I remember clearly though) However if you note that that nintendo intends to see the Wii user base double by the April 2009 and another main-Mario title isn't released on the Wii I'm certain this could reach those numbers.
I'm almost certian the numbers will be around:
21 million - America
17 million - Others
12 million - Japan
As you said this is Nintendo's first winning console in Europe so maybe the adoption rate for this title could stick.
Also the established user base could preform the mythical process of moving up tiers.
In a way it could just pull a New Super Mario Bros. Then again so could many of the other Wii games like Mario Kart, Brawl and Battallion Wars...
If I see BWii start picking up again I'll toss my hat for Nintendo's amazing business practicies.
I'm Unamerica and you can too.
The Official Huge Monster Hunter Thread:
