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kowenicki said:

I said yeah so, becuase the manufacturers may not hold all of the cards.  It may not be just them that decide how this pans out. 

Just because platform holders make money from 3rd partys doesnt mean thats how it will continue.  Indeed, its a good reason why it wont.

Think a little.

You said "no console race anymore" present, not future tense and I am unsure how you believe that platforms holder will no longer recieve a cut from third party's. Yes this is happening on PC with publishers creating their own service such as Origin and Uplay.

But how is this going to happen on consoles which by your own admission is the majority. Without publishers releasing their own Console, releasing their games on android devices or creating their own cloud gaming service, none of which seems likely for the near-future. Yes publishers would love that money for themselves and it is a good reason why the practice wouldn't continue, if it was practical. On PC it is achievable for the biggest publishers, on Consoles their is no alternative and splintering out into many different services will no doubt cause numerous problems.

Each service requires servers, friends lists, profiles and is just a major pain in the ass for consumers, lowering installbase and exposure. We're not moving away from a centralized platform anytime soon, and when cloud gaming does rear it's head it'll no doubt be a similair situation to what we have now, just with remote hardware instead of local.

Third Party's have no choice but to pay that cut, the majority can't even escape it on PC.