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binary solo said:
There should be YoY growth up to this third full year, so I expect 20 million. The question is whether they can plateau and get 20 million 2 years in a row or whether hardware will start to decline. I imagine if Sony is expecting to do this short cycle hardware refresh thing as a long term strategy they will be looking for early PS4 buyers to upgrade to Neo as well as later gen adpoters and then in 2 or 3 years the PS4 NNeo will do the same thing, and by the time the PS4 NNNeo comes out any remaining PS4 og owners will feel like it's time to upgrade and also the PS4 Neo owners will be feeling like an upgrade is justified. So from NNNeo onwards you have a continuous cycle of people upgrading at probably a rate of 15 to 20 million per year ongoing. At least I reckon that's what Sony would like to have happen. I think if VGC wants to stay in the counting game and Sony is successful with this strategy VGC is going to have to count each Neo generation separately, otherwise "PS4" will eventually sell hundreds of millions, but not in the normal sense.

You know that they cannot make this thing of PS4 Neo forever ?, the Next version of PS4 need to run all the older PS4 Tittles (developers would need to make several patches to use the new Hardwares) and the games must run on the older plataforms.

And gamers would be angry if The new GTA came with GTA Saandreas's graphics on the first model  and GTA VI graphics on the last model.