last year 17.7m shipped with a good but modest line-up: uncharted collection, until dawn, the order 1886, the witness.
this (fiscal) year:
ratchet and clank
uncharted 4
no man's sky
the last guardian
persona 5
gravity rush 2
paragon
gran turismo sport
horizon zero dawn
neir automa
valkyria azure revolution
hellblade
all those smaller titles like boundless, aliennation, shadow of the beast, the tomorrow children, drawn to death, matterfall, hardware rivals
ps4 neo
probably ps4 (non-neo) price drop
psvr
rigs
whatever else is launching with it
at least 1 big title in early 2017 we can't place there for sure (dreams? detroit?)
this is going to be ps4's peak year i'm sure of that. basically the "big" exclusives are much bigger than last year and the "modest" exclusives are far more in quantity. there will be some repurchasers that upgrade to neo. psvr is a wild card but based on OR and vive there seems to be demand for vr. 20M sounds pretty easy if you ask me. if neo, psvr, no man's sky, and horizon are well recieved it could maybe even be up to 22-23M.
